Uruguay: Ambitious Investments in Telecoms Infrastructure Create Growth Opportunities in the Data Market

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Uruguay has one of the most developed economies in Latin America, with an estimated PPP-adjusted GDP per capita of $21,050 in 2015, just below Chile ($22,720), Argentina ($22,170) and Panama ($21,750). Uruguays telecoms market is also one of the most advanced in the region, despite having only partially liberalized the sector. Its high levels of development are the result of a series of ambitious government-led initiatives set to transform the country into a prosperous digital economy. Over the last several years, state-owned operator Antel has been prioritizing the roll out of next generation infrastructure including extensive FTTH/B and LTE networks across the country, a Tier-III data center, and submarine fiber optic cables to improve international links to countries in the region and North America.

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Key Findings

Uruguays telecom and pay-TV market will generate $1.7bn in service revenue in 2015, up a mere 0.2% from 2014 in US dollar terms as a result of the depreciation of the Uruguayan peso as the increase in local currency will be 16.4%.
The contribution of voice services to total telecom revenue will fall by more than 12.3 percentage points to 24.3% over the forecast period, while the contribution of data services (fixed and mobile) will expand from 46% in 2015 to 60.7% in 2020.
Uruguay will close 2015 with 5.6m active mobile subscriptions and a penetration rate of 160.3%, well above the Latin American average (118.9%) and other mid-income countries in the region, such as Chile (153.7%) and Argentina (145%). We project that Uruguays mobile subscriber base will continue expanding during the 2015-2020 period, at a 2.4% CAGR
Antel will remain the largest revenue contributor throughout the entire forecast period, thanks mainly to the lack of competition it faces in many key market segments and its ambitious infrastructure investment projects.
Uruguays fixed telecom market is one of the most developed in the region, with an estimated 30.2 fixed access lines per 100 inhabitants at year-end 2015, considerably above the regional average of 17.3. Broadband penetration will top 27.4% of the population at the end of 2015, the highest in the region and well above the average projected for Latin America (11.8%).
Uruguay will close 2015 with an estimated pay-TV household penetration rate of 55.1%, equating to 769,800 subscriptions, 40% of which are concentrated in the capital of Montevideo. Cable is the leading pay-TV technology in the market, accounting for nearly 78% of all the pay-TV subscriptions. In terms of players, pan-American DTH/satellite operator DirecTV is currently Uruguays leading pay-TV provider, with an estimated 22.6% market share as of year-end 2015; followed by Cablevision, with an estimated 17.8% share.

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The Uruguay: Ambitious Investments in Telecoms Infrastructure Create Growth Opportunities in the Data Market report provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in Uruguay today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2020. It delivers deep quantitative and qualitative insight into the Uruguayan telecom market, analyzing key trends, evaluating near-term opportunities and assessing risk factors, based on proprietary data from Pyramid Researchs databases.

The Country Intelligence Report provides in-depth analysis of the following:

Regional context: telecom market size and trends in the Uruguay compared with other countries in the Latin American region.
Economic, demographic and political context in Uruguay.
The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to national broadband plans and other infrastructure developments.
A demand profile: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, mobile data.
Service evolution: a look at changes in the breakdown of overall revenue between the fixed and mobile sectors and between voice, data and video from 2013 to 2020.
The competitive landscape: an examination of key trends in competition and in the performance, revenue market shares and expected moves of service providers over the next 18-24 months.
In-services: a quantitative analysis of service adoption trends by network technology and by operator, as well in-depth sector analysis of fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice and mobile data and average revenue per line/subscription and service revenue through the end of the forecast period.
Main opportunities: this section details the near-term opportunities for operators, vendors and investors in the Uruguayan telecommunications market.